feat(my-bets): personal bet journal with CLV tracking

Adds a manual bet-tracking journal that turns the analyzer into an actual
bet tracker. Users record wagers; the journal auto-grades them when event
results land and computes per-bet Closing-Line-Value against the latest
pre-match snapshot — the strongest long-run indicator of betting skill.

Domain:
- PlacedBet entity (reuses Bet vocabulary for Scope/Type/Side/Value/Rate)
  with stake, placed-at, outcome, and notes. Derived GrossReturn / NetProfit.
- BetOutcome enum (Pending / Won / Lost / Void).
- BetOutcomeResolver: pure function grading any Match-scope bet against an
  EventResult. Handles 1X2, draws, handicap (incl. push), and totals.
  Period-scope bets stay manual since EventResult only carries full-time.

Application:
- IPlacedBetRepository abstraction.
- ClosingLineValueCalculator: pure CLV math (implied-probability delta) +
  snapshot-matching predicate by Scope/Type/Side/Value.
- BetJournalReport + BetJournalStats records.
- Four use cases: Record / ResolvePending / BuildReport / Delete.
- New ISnapshotRepository.GetLatestPreMatchAsync pushes the closing-line
  pick into a single SQLite query rather than materialising the 30-day
  window in memory per event.
- ROI turnover excludes Void stakes — pushes are not real turnover and
  including them would dilute the user's edge.

Infrastructure:
- PlacedBetEntity / Configuration / Repository / Mapping helpers.
- 20260516 migration adding the PlacedBets table with EventCode and
  Outcome indices. Intentionally NO foreign key to Events — the journal
  is user data and must survive snapshot-retention pruning. Covered by an
  explicit round-trip test.

UI:
- Pages/MyBets/Journal.razor: hero header, 4-card KPI strip (ROI / strike
  rate / avg CLV / net profit, tinted by tone), inline add-bet form with
  the same invariants as the Bet record, drill-down table with per-row
  outcome pills, CLV percentage-points column, P&L, notes underline, and
  inline-confirm delete. RU + EN i18n.
- Nav entry under Analysis.

Tests: +55 across Domain / Application / Infrastructure (resolver math
including handicap push and total push boundaries, PlacedBet invariants
and derived properties, CLV math + null-handling, four use cases under
NSubstitute, EF round-trip including survives-event-deletion). All 379
tests pass.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
2026-05-16 17:45:42 +03:00
parent 292223174c
commit 1ad896b07e
36 changed files with 3315 additions and 0 deletions
@@ -0,0 +1,98 @@
using Marathon.Application.Abstractions;
using Marathon.Application.UseCases;
using Marathon.Domain.Entities;
using Marathon.Domain.Enums;
using Marathon.Domain.ValueObjects;
using DomainEventId = Marathon.Domain.ValueObjects.EventId;
namespace Marathon.UI.Services;
/// <summary>
/// Page-facing implementation of <see cref="IBetJournalService"/>. Composes the
/// four bet-journal use cases and joins event titles for the table rows.
/// </summary>
public sealed class BetJournalService : IBetJournalService
{
private readonly BuildBetJournalReportUseCase _build;
private readonly RecordPlacedBetUseCase _record;
private readonly ResolvePendingBetsUseCase _resolve;
private readonly DeletePlacedBetUseCase _delete;
private readonly IEventRepository _events;
public BetJournalService(
BuildBetJournalReportUseCase build,
RecordPlacedBetUseCase record,
ResolvePendingBetsUseCase resolve,
DeletePlacedBetUseCase delete,
IEventRepository events)
{
_build = build ?? throw new ArgumentNullException(nameof(build));
_record = record ?? throw new ArgumentNullException(nameof(record));
_resolve = resolve ?? throw new ArgumentNullException(nameof(resolve));
_delete = delete ?? throw new ArgumentNullException(nameof(delete));
_events = events ?? throw new ArgumentNullException(nameof(events));
}
public async Task<BetJournalVm> GetReportAsync(CancellationToken ct)
{
var report = await _build.ExecuteAsync(ct).ConfigureAwait(false);
if (report.Bets.Count == 0)
return new BetJournalVm(report.Stats, Array.Empty<BetJournalRowVm>());
// Resolve event titles in one pass — distinct ids only.
var distinctIds = report.Bets.Select(r => r.Bet.EventId).Distinct().ToList();
var titles = new Dictionary<DomainEventId, string>(distinctIds.Count);
foreach (var id in distinctIds)
{
ct.ThrowIfCancellationRequested();
var ev = await _events.GetAsync(id, ct).ConfigureAwait(false);
titles[id] = ev is not null
? string.Concat(ev.Side1Name, " vs ", ev.Side2Name)
: id.Value;
}
var rows = report.Bets
.Select(r => new BetJournalRowVm(
Id: r.Bet.Id,
EventTitle: titles.TryGetValue(r.Bet.EventId, out var t) ? t : r.Bet.EventId.Value,
Bet: r.Bet,
ClvProbabilityDelta: r.ClvProbabilityDelta))
.ToList();
return new BetJournalVm(report.Stats, rows);
}
public async Task<Guid> AddAsync(AddBetForm form, CancellationToken ct)
{
ArgumentNullException.ThrowIfNull(form);
if (!form.IsValid(out var error))
throw new ArgumentException(error ?? "Invalid form.", nameof(form));
var selection = new Bet(
scope: MatchScope.Instance,
type: form.Type,
side: form.Side,
value: form.Value is { } v ? new OddsValue(v) : null,
rate: new OddsRate(form.Rate));
var bet = new PlacedBet(
Id: Guid.NewGuid(),
EventId: new DomainEventId(form.EventId.Trim()),
Selection: selection,
Stake: form.Stake,
PlacedAt: MoscowTime.Now,
Outcome: BetOutcome.Pending,
Notes: form.Notes);
var stored = await _record.ExecuteAsync(bet, ct).ConfigureAwait(false);
return stored.Id;
}
public Task DeleteAsync(Guid betId, CancellationToken ct) =>
_delete.ExecuteAsync(betId, ct);
public Task<int> ResolvePendingAsync(CancellationToken ct) =>
_resolve.ExecuteAsync(ct);
}