2 Commits

Author	SHA1	Message	Date
alexei.dolgolyov	115872aad0	feat(anomaly): overround-compression detector ... Adds the 4th IAnomalyDetector: flags a sharp drop in the bookmaker's overround (raw implied-probability sum / margin) over a continuous live window. Informational/non-directional — excluded from outcome grading and backtest staking via AnomalyKind.IsDirectional(). - OverroundCompressionDetector: sliding-window scan mirroring SteamMove, score = min(1, compression / 0.10 reference), suspension-gap aware. - MatchWinEvidence.Probabilities gains Overround (pre-normalisation margin); evidence JSON shape unchanged. - Wired into DetectAnomaliesUseCase fan-out; AnomalyOptions + appsettings (window 120s, threshold 0.02); en/ru resx + KindLabel arms. - 11 detector tests incl. score saturation/scaling, inclusive threshold boundary, and a three-way (draw-leg) overround case.	2026-05-29 01:46:56 +03:00
alexei.dolgolyov	c9eee9f907	fix(anomaly): exclude non-directional kinds from grading and backtest ... Review follow-up (HIGH): the three detectors fed the same evaluator/backtest, but SuspensionFreeze is non-directional (favourite unchanged) — grading it as "favourite won" polluted the hit-rate with the base favourite-win rate, and its high frozen-ness score always cleared the backtest threshold. - Add AnomalyKind.IsDirectional() (flip + steam = true, freeze = false). - AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator returns Unresolved for non-directional kinds (favourites still surfaced for display) so they don't distort calibration. - RunBacktestUseCase skips non-directional anomalies when building candidates. - Tests for the classification, the evaluator path, and the backtest skip.	2026-05-29 01:25:16 +03:00