New /anomalies/compare page runs every saved strategy preset over the same
window and ranks them by ROI — bets, W–L, hit-rate, net, and max drawdown side
by side, with the best ROI flagged. Auto-runs on load with an optional date-range refine.
- CompareStrategiesUseCase fans RunBacktestUseCase over saved presets (re-loads the
anomaly set per preset — fine for the handful a user keeps; stays bug-for-bug
identical to a single backtest run).
- StrategyComparisonService.BuildVm (pure) computes per-row hit-rate + a single
best-by-ROI flag; nav entry + en/ru resx.
- 6 tests: use-case fan-out + BuildVm best/tie/no-bets/hit-rate.
Surfaces the PaperTradingWorker's config on the Settings page — Enabled toggle,
min-score, flat-stake, and poll interval — so forward-testing can be switched on
and tuned from the UI instead of hand-editing committed appsettings.json.
Uses the established UI-mirror-options pattern (PaperTradingSettingsForm bound to
the "PaperTrading" section, same as the UI WorkerOptions mirror) and writes through
the existing ISettingsWriter to appsettings.Local.json. Notifications is deliberately
NOT surfaced: its section holds the Telegram secret and the section-replace writer
would clobber the token — that section stays Local.json-only by design.
- PaperTradingSettingsForm (no secrets) + DI binding; Settings section + en/ru resx.
Adds the read-only paper-trading page (/paper-trading): settled-only P&L KPIs
(net profit, ROI, hit rate, open count) plus a per-bet ledger table, with a
Forward-test nav entry under Analysis. PaperTradingService batches the
event-title join (no N+1) and folds settled bets into the summary.
Also hardens PaperTradingWorker (review finding): settle now runs in its own
catch so a transient settle failure can't advance the since-marker past an
open window — the window replays until its opens succeed.
- IPaperTradingService / PaperTradingService / PaperTradingVm + PaperBetRowVm.
- en/ru resx (full parity), service registration, nav entry.
- 2 service tests: empty ledger + settled-only aggregation incl. title fallback.
- Add a /health ops page: snapshot freshness (last-capture-at, colour-coded), 24h vs
total snapshots + anomalies, events tracked, sports covered, and the four worker
on/off states. Nav entry under System; localized en+ru.
- New IPipelineHealthService + ISnapshotRepository.GetLatestCapturedAtAsync (max
CapturedAt via indexed ORDER BY/LIMIT 1), with a real-SQLite round-trip test.
- Add IDashboardSummaryService/DashboardSummaryService: real event/snapshot/
anomaly counts, top-5 signals, and per-stage pipeline health from worker state.
- Home: replace hard-coded zeros + placeholder feed with live data, a clickable
signal feed, and a first-run empty state with a Settings CTA.
- MainLayout: add an appbar capture-status pill (Capturing/Paused) bound to the
poller toggles, refreshed via IOptionsMonitor.OnChange.
- MyBets: success snackbar on bet submit. Backtest: surface a Cancel button
while a run is in flight.
- Add en/ru localization for all new strings; register IOptionsMonitor<WorkerOptions>
in the bUnit test context for layout-rendering tests.
Adds an interactive backtester that replays the SuspensionFlip detector over
all flagged anomalies under a chosen score threshold and staking rule
(flat / percent-of-bankroll / Kelly), and reports the headline numbers a
user needs to judge edge: final bankroll, ROI, max drawdown (peak-to-trough),
win/loss streaks, plus per-bet equity curve.
Domain (pure):
- StakeRule enum + BacktestStrategy params (with validation).
- BacktestSimulator: deterministic function taking strategy + chronological
candidates → BacktestResult. Implements Kelly with post-flip implied prob
as p (skipping negative-edge bets), peak-to-trough drawdown tracking, and
win/loss streak rollups. Mirrors AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator on the 2-way Draw
guard so tennis data inconsistencies are refused rather than miss-counted.
- Skipped counter split into SkippedByThreshold / SkippedByDataQuality /
SkippedByBankroll so the UI can distinguish "strategy choice" from
"data-quality" from "bankroll empty".
Application:
- RunBacktestUseCase: loads anomalies + events + results, parses evidence,
builds candidates, hands event titles into the simulator so the UI does
zero repository round-trips of its own.
UI:
- Pages/Anomalies/Backtest.razor: hero, strategy form (MudBlazor — conditional
sub-field per staking rule), 4-card KPI strip (final bankroll / net profit
/ ROI / max drawdown), counters row, inline-SVG equity curve, trade-trace
table with per-bet outcome pills and link-back to the source anomaly.
- Nav entry under Analysis. RU + EN i18n.
Tests: +20 (16 simulator math — flat / percent compounding / Kelly +/-
edge / quarter-Kelly / bankroll-exceeded / out-of-order chronology / Draw
favourite / multi-window drawdown / event-title pass-through + 4 use-case
join). All 399 tests pass.
Money rounding switched to MidpointRounding.AwayFromZero throughout the
simulator output for accounting convention.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Adds a manual bet-tracking journal that turns the analyzer into an actual
bet tracker. Users record wagers; the journal auto-grades them when event
results land and computes per-bet Closing-Line-Value against the latest
pre-match snapshot — the strongest long-run indicator of betting skill.
Domain:
- PlacedBet entity (reuses Bet vocabulary for Scope/Type/Side/Value/Rate)
with stake, placed-at, outcome, and notes. Derived GrossReturn / NetProfit.
- BetOutcome enum (Pending / Won / Lost / Void).
- BetOutcomeResolver: pure function grading any Match-scope bet against an
EventResult. Handles 1X2, draws, handicap (incl. push), and totals.
Period-scope bets stay manual since EventResult only carries full-time.
Application:
- IPlacedBetRepository abstraction.
- ClosingLineValueCalculator: pure CLV math (implied-probability delta) +
snapshot-matching predicate by Scope/Type/Side/Value.
- BetJournalReport + BetJournalStats records.
- Four use cases: Record / ResolvePending / BuildReport / Delete.
- New ISnapshotRepository.GetLatestPreMatchAsync pushes the closing-line
pick into a single SQLite query rather than materialising the 30-day
window in memory per event.
- ROI turnover excludes Void stakes — pushes are not real turnover and
including them would dilute the user's edge.
Infrastructure:
- PlacedBetEntity / Configuration / Repository / Mapping helpers.
- 20260516 migration adding the PlacedBets table with EventCode and
Outcome indices. Intentionally NO foreign key to Events — the journal
is user data and must survive snapshot-retention pruning. Covered by an
explicit round-trip test.
UI:
- Pages/MyBets/Journal.razor: hero header, 4-card KPI strip (ROI / strike
rate / avg CLV / net profit, tinted by tone), inline add-bet form with
the same invariants as the Bet record, drill-down table with per-row
outcome pills, CLV percentage-points column, P&L, notes underline, and
inline-confirm delete. RU + EN i18n.
- Nav entry under Analysis.
Tests: +55 across Domain / Application / Infrastructure (resolver math
including handicap push and total push boundaries, PlacedBet invariants
and derived properties, CLV math + null-handling, four use cases under
NSubstitute, EF round-trip including survives-event-deletion). All 379
tests pass.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Adds a calibration dashboard that joins persisted SuspensionFlip anomalies
with EventResult rows and reports whether the post-flip favourite actually
won — the single metric that says whether the detector is doing its job.
Domain:
- AnomalyEvidenceData + AnomalyEvidenceParser to read the JSON written by
AnomalyDetector without re-implementing the schema.
- AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator: pure function returning Hit / Miss / Unresolved.
Tennis-style two-way markets with a Draw winner are downgraded to
Unresolved rather than silently counted as Miss.
- AnomalySeverityThresholds: shared Low/Medium/High constants so the UI
badge and the report buckets cannot drift.
Application:
- EvaluateAnomalyOutcomesUseCase orchestrates the join + aggregation.
- AnomalyOutcomeReport carries totals, hit rate, three breakdowns
(severity / sport / score bins) and a per-event title lookup so the UI
needs no second pass over IEventRepository.
- Score bins extend below 0.30 automatically when the operator lowers the
detector threshold so the histogram total always equals ResolvedCount.
UI:
- Insights page at /anomalies/insights — hero header, 4-card KPI strip
(hit rate tinted by tone), three breakdown grids with bar visualisation,
drill-down tables for resolved and unresolved anomalies. Honors
prefers-reduced-motion. RU + EN localisation.
- Nav entry under Analysis section + chip button on the Anomaly Feed.
Tests: +42 across Domain + Application (evaluator boundary cases including
tennis two-way and Draw guard, score-bin edges, dynamic floor when
threshold is lowered, event-title pass-through). All 324 tests pass.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
* Pages/Results/ResultsList.razor — completed-events list with date range,
sport/winner filter, search, footer count.
* Pages/Results/ResultsLoader.razor — driver page with two modes (load all
in range / load selected events), live progress reporting via
IProgress<PullResultsProgress>, summary line, cancellable.
* Replaces the Phase 5 Pages/Results.razor placeholder.
Service layer:
* IResultsBrowsingService + ResultsBrowsingService (Scoped, mirrors the
Event/Anomaly browsing-service pattern). Reads IResultRepository +
IEventRepository, projects to immutable view-model records.
* UiServicesExtensions: registers ResultsBrowsingService; also fixes an
unrelated localization resolver bug (drop ResourcesPath since
SharedResource lives in the Marathon.UI.Resources namespace already).
Localization:
* 41 new Results.* keys (RU+EN parity) covering both pages, filter chips,
loader modes, progress states, and footer copy.
Tests:
* ResultsListTests + ResultsLoaderTests — 22 new bUnit tests covering
filter narrowing, mode switching, progress aggregation, and empty
states.
* FakeResultsBrowsingService support type for tests.
* MarathonTestContext registers the fake; TestData adds factories for
EventResult/EventResultListItem.
alexei.dolgolyov