using FluentAssertions;
using Marathon.Domain.AnomalyDetection;
using Marathon.Domain.Entities;
using Marathon.Domain.Enums;
using Marathon.Domain.ValueObjects;
namespace Marathon.Domain.Tests.AnomalyDetection;
///
/// Unit tests for covering the join with
/// for hit / miss / unresolved verdicts.
///
public sealed class AnomalyOutcomeEvaluatorTests
{
private static readonly TimeSpan MoscowOffset = TimeSpan.FromHours(3);
private static readonly EventId DefaultEventId = new("12345678");
private const string ThreeWayFlipJson = """
{
"suspensionGapSeconds": 90,
"preSuspension": {
"capturedAt": "2026-05-10T18:00:00+03:00",
"p1": 0.55, "pDraw": 0.20, "p2": 0.25,
"rate1": 1.8, "rateDraw": 4.5, "rate2": 4.0
},
"postSuspension": {
"capturedAt": "2026-05-10T18:02:30+03:00",
"p1": 0.25, "pDraw": 0.20, "p2": 0.55,
"rate1": 4.0, "rateDraw": 4.5, "rate2": 1.8
}
}
""";
private static Anomaly MakeAnomaly(string evidenceJson, decimal score = 0.5m) =>
new(
Id: Guid.NewGuid(),
EventId: DefaultEventId,
DetectedAt: new DateTimeOffset(2026, 5, 10, 18, 5, 0, MoscowOffset),
Kind: AnomalyKind.SuspensionFlip,
Score: score,
EvidenceJson: evidenceJson);
private static EventResult MakeResult(Side winner, int s1 = 1, int s2 = 1) =>
new(DefaultEventId, s1, s2, winner, DateTimeOffset.UtcNow);
[Fact]
public void Should_ReportHit_When_PostFlipFavourite_Wins()
{
// Post-flip favourite = Side2; result = Side2 wins → Hit.
var anomaly = MakeAnomaly(ThreeWayFlipJson, score: 0.65m);
var result = MakeResult(Side.Side2, s1: 0, s2: 2);
var verdict = AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator.Evaluate(anomaly, new SportCode(6), result);
verdict.Outcome.Should().Be(AnomalyOutcomeKind.Hit);
verdict.PreFlipFavourite.Should().Be(Side.Side1);
verdict.PostFlipFavourite.Should().Be(Side.Side2);
verdict.ActualWinner.Should().Be(Side.Side2);
verdict.Sport!.Value.Should().Be(6);
}
[Fact]
public void Should_ReportMiss_When_PostFlipFavourite_Loses()
{
// Post-flip favourite = Side2; result = Side1 wins → Miss (detector wrong).
var anomaly = MakeAnomaly(ThreeWayFlipJson);
var result = MakeResult(Side.Side1, s1: 2, s2: 0);
var verdict = AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator.Evaluate(anomaly, new SportCode(11), result);
verdict.Outcome.Should().Be(AnomalyOutcomeKind.Miss);
verdict.PostFlipFavourite.Should().Be(Side.Side2);
verdict.ActualWinner.Should().Be(Side.Side1);
}
[Fact]
public void Should_ReportUnresolved_When_KindIsNonDirectional()
{
// SuspensionFreeze is informational (the favourite did not change) — it must NOT be
// graded hit/miss even when a result exists, or its base favourite-win rate would
// pollute the calibration. Favourites are still surfaced for display.
var anomaly = new Anomaly(
Id: Guid.NewGuid(),
EventId: DefaultEventId,
DetectedAt: new DateTimeOffset(2026, 5, 10, 18, 5, 0, MoscowOffset),
Kind: AnomalyKind.SuspensionFreeze,
Score: 0.9m,
EvidenceJson: ThreeWayFlipJson);
var result = MakeResult(Side.Side2, s1: 0, s2: 2);
var verdict = AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator.Evaluate(anomaly, new SportCode(6), result);
verdict.Outcome.Should().Be(AnomalyOutcomeKind.Unresolved);
verdict.PostFlipFavourite.Should().Be(Side.Side2);
}
[Fact]
public void Should_ReportMiss_When_DrawOccurred_AndPostFlipFavouriteIsNotDraw()
{
var anomaly = MakeAnomaly(ThreeWayFlipJson);
var result = MakeResult(Side.Draw, s1: 1, s2: 1);
var verdict = AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator.Evaluate(anomaly, null, result);
verdict.Outcome.Should().Be(AnomalyOutcomeKind.Miss);
verdict.ActualWinner.Should().Be(Side.Draw);
}
[Fact]
public void Should_ReportUnresolved_When_ResultIsNull()
{
var anomaly = MakeAnomaly(ThreeWayFlipJson);
var verdict = AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator.Evaluate(anomaly, new SportCode(22723), result: null);
verdict.Outcome.Should().Be(AnomalyOutcomeKind.Unresolved);
verdict.ActualWinner.Should().BeNull();
// Pre/post favourites still computed for display.
verdict.PreFlipFavourite.Should().Be(Side.Side1);
verdict.PostFlipFavourite.Should().Be(Side.Side2);
}
[Fact]
public void Should_ReportUnresolved_When_EvidenceJsonIsMalformed()
{
var anomaly = MakeAnomaly("{malformed");
var result = MakeResult(Side.Side1);
var verdict = AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator.Evaluate(anomaly, null, result);
verdict.Outcome.Should().Be(AnomalyOutcomeKind.Unresolved,
"evidence cannot be parsed so we cannot judge the prediction");
verdict.PreFlipFavourite.Should().BeNull(
"fabricated favourites would mislead any consumer that reads the unresolved branch");
verdict.PostFlipFavourite.Should().BeNull();
verdict.ActualWinner.Should().Be(Side.Side1, "the result side is still known and surfaced");
}
[Fact]
public void Should_ReportHit_For_TwoWayTennis_When_PostFlipFavouriteWins()
{
const string twoWayJson = """
{
"suspensionGapSeconds": 75,
"preSuspension": {
"capturedAt": "2026-05-10T18:00:00+03:00",
"p1": 0.70, "p2": 0.30, "rate1": 1.4, "rate2": 3.3
},
"postSuspension": {
"capturedAt": "2026-05-10T18:01:30+03:00",
"p1": 0.30, "p2": 0.70, "rate1": 3.3, "rate2": 1.4
}
}
""";
var anomaly = MakeAnomaly(twoWayJson, score: 0.55m);
var result = MakeResult(Side.Side2, s1: 0, s2: 2);
var verdict = AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator.Evaluate(anomaly, new SportCode(22723), result);
verdict.Outcome.Should().Be(AnomalyOutcomeKind.Hit);
verdict.PostFlipFavourite.Should().Be(Side.Side2);
}
[Fact]
public void Should_ReportUnresolved_When_TwoWayMarket_Has_DrawWinner()
{
// Tennis cannot draw — if the result is Draw the data is inconsistent
// with the evidence and we refuse to grade rather than silently miss-classify.
const string twoWayJson = """
{
"suspensionGapSeconds": 75,
"preSuspension": {
"capturedAt": "2026-05-10T18:00:00+03:00",
"p1": 0.70, "p2": 0.30, "rate1": 1.4, "rate2": 3.3
},
"postSuspension": {
"capturedAt": "2026-05-10T18:01:30+03:00",
"p1": 0.30, "p2": 0.70, "rate1": 3.3, "rate2": 1.4
}
}
""";
var anomaly = MakeAnomaly(twoWayJson, score: 0.55m);
var result = MakeResult(Side.Draw);
var verdict = AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator.Evaluate(anomaly, new SportCode(22723), result);
verdict.Outcome.Should().Be(AnomalyOutcomeKind.Unresolved);
verdict.ActualWinner.Should().Be(Side.Draw);
verdict.PostFlipFavourite.Should().Be(Side.Side2,
"favourite is still computed for display, just not graded");
}
[Fact]
public void Should_Throw_When_AnomalyIsNull()
{
var act = () => AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator.Evaluate(null!, null, null);
act.Should().Throw();
}
}