alexei.dolgolyov
0d52b7beff
Adds an interactive backtester that replays the SuspensionFlip detector over all flagged anomalies under a chosen score threshold and staking rule (flat / percent-of-bankroll / Kelly), and reports the headline numbers a user needs to judge edge: final bankroll, ROI, max drawdown (peak-to-trough), win/loss streaks, plus per-bet equity curve. Domain (pure): - StakeRule enum + BacktestStrategy params (with validation). - BacktestSimulator: deterministic function taking strategy + chronological candidates → BacktestResult. Implements Kelly with post-flip implied prob as p (skipping negative-edge bets), peak-to-trough drawdown tracking, and win/loss streak rollups. Mirrors AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator on the 2-way Draw guard so tennis data inconsistencies are refused rather than miss-counted. - Skipped counter split into SkippedByThreshold / SkippedByDataQuality / SkippedByBankroll so the UI can distinguish "strategy choice" from "data-quality" from "bankroll empty". Application: - RunBacktestUseCase: loads anomalies + events + results, parses evidence, builds candidates, hands event titles into the simulator so the UI does zero repository round-trips of its own. UI: - Pages/Anomalies/Backtest.razor: hero, strategy form (MudBlazor — conditional sub-field per staking rule), 4-card KPI strip (final bankroll / net profit / ROI / max drawdown), counters row, inline-SVG equity curve, trade-trace table with per-bet outcome pills and link-back to the source anomaly. - Nav entry under Analysis. RU + EN i18n. Tests: +20 (16 simulator math — flat / percent compounding / Kelly +/- edge / quarter-Kelly / bankroll-exceeded / out-of-order chronology / Draw favourite / multi-window drawdown / event-title pass-through + 4 use-case join). All 399 tests pass. Money rounding switched to MidpointRounding.AwayFromZero throughout the simulator output for accounting convention. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
maraphon-app
Sports betting odds analyzer for marathonbet.by.
Scrapes pre-match (/su) and live (/su/live) sports events, tracks coefficient changes
over time, and detects anomalies — in particular the "odds-flip" pattern where the
bookmaker freezes betting and then inverts underdog/favorite odds.
Tech stack
- .NET 8 + C# 12
- Blazor Hybrid — WPF shell hosting
BlazorWebView(designed to migrate to ASP.NET Core Blazor Server with no UI rewrite) - EF Core + SQLite (WAL mode) for local storage
- ClosedXML for Excel export
- AngleSharp for HTML scraping (with Playwright fallback for JS-rendered pages)
- Polly v8 for retry / circuit breaker / rate limiting
- MudBlazor UI components, Plotly.Blazor for charts
- Serilog structured logging
- xUnit / FluentAssertions / NSubstitute for tests
Project layout
src/
Marathon.Domain/ entities, value objects, no dependencies
Marathon.Application/ use cases, abstractions (IOddsScraper, IRepository, ...)
Marathon.Infrastructure/ EF Core, scraping, Polly, Excel, Playwright
Marathon.UI/ Razor Class Library — all Blazor components live here
Marathon.Hosts.WpfBlazor/ WPF + BlazorWebView host (replaceable for web)
tests/
Marathon.*.Tests/ unit + integration tests per layer
Build & run
dotnet build Marathon.sln
dotnet test Marathon.sln
dotnet run --project src/Marathon.Hosts.WpfBlazor
Configuration
All variable parameters (polling intervals, concurrency, user-agents, retry policy,
snapshot retention, locale) are exposed via appsettings.json and live-editable via
the in-app Settings page.
Status
🟡 In active development. See plans/initial-implementation/PLAN.md
for the current phase plan and progress.
License
Private — customer project.