alexei.dolgolyov 115872aad0 feat(anomaly): overround-compression detector
Adds the 4th IAnomalyDetector: flags a sharp drop in the bookmaker's
overround (raw implied-probability sum / margin) over a continuous live
window. Informational/non-directional — excluded from outcome grading
and backtest staking via AnomalyKind.IsDirectional().

- OverroundCompressionDetector: sliding-window scan mirroring SteamMove,
  score = min(1, compression / 0.10 reference), suspension-gap aware.
- MatchWinEvidence.Probabilities gains Overround (pre-normalisation
  margin); evidence JSON shape unchanged.
- Wired into DetectAnomaliesUseCase fan-out; AnomalyOptions + appsettings
  (window 120s, threshold 0.02); en/ru resx + KindLabel arms.
- 11 detector tests incl. score saturation/scaling, inclusive threshold
  boundary, and a three-way (draw-leg) overround case.
2026-05-29 01:46:56 +03:00

maraphon-app

Sports betting odds analyzer for marathonbet.by.

Scrapes pre-match (/su) and live (/su/live) sports events, tracks coefficient changes over time, and detects anomalies — in particular the "odds-flip" pattern where the bookmaker freezes betting and then inverts underdog/favorite odds.

Tech stack

  • .NET 8 + C# 12
  • Blazor Hybrid — WPF shell hosting BlazorWebView (designed to migrate to ASP.NET Core Blazor Server with no UI rewrite)
  • EF Core + SQLite (WAL mode) for local storage
  • ClosedXML for Excel export
  • AngleSharp for HTML scraping (with Playwright fallback for JS-rendered pages)
  • Polly v8 for retry / circuit breaker / rate limiting
  • MudBlazor UI components, Plotly.Blazor for charts
  • Serilog structured logging
  • xUnit / FluentAssertions / NSubstitute for tests

Project layout

src/
  Marathon.Domain/         entities, value objects, no dependencies
  Marathon.Application/    use cases, abstractions (IOddsScraper, IRepository, ...)
  Marathon.Infrastructure/ EF Core, scraping, Polly, Excel, Playwright
  Marathon.UI/             Razor Class Library — all Blazor components live here
  Marathon.Hosts.WpfBlazor/ WPF + BlazorWebView host (replaceable for web)
tests/
  Marathon.*.Tests/        unit + integration tests per layer

Build & run

dotnet build Marathon.sln
dotnet test  Marathon.sln
dotnet run   --project src/Marathon.Hosts.WpfBlazor

Configuration

All variable parameters (polling intervals, concurrency, user-agents, retry policy, snapshot retention, locale) are exposed via appsettings.json and live-editable via the in-app Settings page.

Status

🟡 In active development. See plans/initial-implementation/PLAN.md for the current phase plan and progress.

License

Private — customer project.

S
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