alexei.dolgolyov 292223174c feat(insights): anomaly outcome validator — hit-rate calibration page
Adds a calibration dashboard that joins persisted SuspensionFlip anomalies
with EventResult rows and reports whether the post-flip favourite actually
won — the single metric that says whether the detector is doing its job.

Domain:
- AnomalyEvidenceData + AnomalyEvidenceParser to read the JSON written by
  AnomalyDetector without re-implementing the schema.
- AnomalyOutcomeEvaluator: pure function returning Hit / Miss / Unresolved.
  Tennis-style two-way markets with a Draw winner are downgraded to
  Unresolved rather than silently counted as Miss.
- AnomalySeverityThresholds: shared Low/Medium/High constants so the UI
  badge and the report buckets cannot drift.

Application:
- EvaluateAnomalyOutcomesUseCase orchestrates the join + aggregation.
- AnomalyOutcomeReport carries totals, hit rate, three breakdowns
  (severity / sport / score bins) and a per-event title lookup so the UI
  needs no second pass over IEventRepository.
- Score bins extend below 0.30 automatically when the operator lowers the
  detector threshold so the histogram total always equals ResolvedCount.

UI:
- Insights page at /anomalies/insights — hero header, 4-card KPI strip
  (hit rate tinted by tone), three breakdown grids with bar visualisation,
  drill-down tables for resolved and unresolved anomalies. Honors
  prefers-reduced-motion. RU + EN localisation.
- Nav entry under Analysis section + chip button on the Anomaly Feed.

Tests: +42 across Domain + Application (evaluator boundary cases including
tennis two-way and Draw guard, score-bin edges, dynamic floor when
threshold is lowered, event-title pass-through). All 324 tests pass.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-16 13:53:31 +03:00

maraphon-app

Sports betting odds analyzer for marathonbet.by.

Scrapes pre-match (/su) and live (/su/live) sports events, tracks coefficient changes over time, and detects anomalies — in particular the "odds-flip" pattern where the bookmaker freezes betting and then inverts underdog/favorite odds.

Tech stack

  • .NET 8 + C# 12
  • Blazor Hybrid — WPF shell hosting BlazorWebView (designed to migrate to ASP.NET Core Blazor Server with no UI rewrite)
  • EF Core + SQLite (WAL mode) for local storage
  • ClosedXML for Excel export
  • AngleSharp for HTML scraping (with Playwright fallback for JS-rendered pages)
  • Polly v8 for retry / circuit breaker / rate limiting
  • MudBlazor UI components, Plotly.Blazor for charts
  • Serilog structured logging
  • xUnit / FluentAssertions / NSubstitute for tests

Project layout

src/
  Marathon.Domain/         entities, value objects, no dependencies
  Marathon.Application/    use cases, abstractions (IOddsScraper, IRepository, ...)
  Marathon.Infrastructure/ EF Core, scraping, Polly, Excel, Playwright
  Marathon.UI/             Razor Class Library — all Blazor components live here
  Marathon.Hosts.WpfBlazor/ WPF + BlazorWebView host (replaceable for web)
tests/
  Marathon.*.Tests/        unit + integration tests per layer

Build & run

dotnet build Marathon.sln
dotnet test  Marathon.sln
dotnet run   --project src/Marathon.Hosts.WpfBlazor

Configuration

All variable parameters (polling intervals, concurrency, user-agents, retry policy, snapshot retention, locale) are exposed via appsettings.json and live-editable via the in-app Settings page.

Status

🟡 In active development. See plans/initial-implementation/PLAN.md for the current phase plan and progress.

License

Private — customer project.

S
Description
No description provided
Readme 1.8 MiB
Languages
HTML 54.3%
C# 45%
CSS 0.7%